Uh oh! Is housing in trouble?


Author Cam Hui

Posted: 26 July 2013

I was reviewing some charts after the close and I came upon this chart. Notwithstanding Thursday’s action, which was the result of earnings misses by two homebuilders, what does this chart of the homebuilders ETF (XHB) against the market telling us about market expectations about the housing rebound? On a a relative basis, XHB staged a relative rally from the Eurogeddon lows of 2011, started rolling over in early 2013 and now has violated a relative support level.

Now consider this recent post from Barry Ritholz about private equity seems to have gone overboard on the “rent to flip” in US housing. Mr. Market starting to get nervous about housing, especially if mortgage rates rise any further.

Cam Hui is a portfolio manager at Qwest Investment Fund Management Ltd. (“Qwest”). This article is prepared by Mr. Hui as an outside business activity. As such, Qwest does not review or approve materials presented herein. The opinions and any recommendations expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Qwest. 

None of the information or opinions expressed in this blog constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Nothing in this article constitutes investment advice and any recommendations that may be contained herein have not been based upon a consideration of the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities or other instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Either Qwest or Mr. Hui may hold or control long or short positions in the securities or instruments mentioned.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: